The Shifting World Order: Economic War, Crypto Panic, and a Fracturing Europe

 

The Shifting World Order: Economic War, Crypto Panic, and a Fracturing Europe

by Lucius Cohen and Paulo Castellari.

This article is a snapshot of growing anxieties about geopolitical and economic instability, particularly in Europe, the U.S., and the cryptocurrency market. The discussion, though hyperbolic at times, reflects real global trends—the geopolitical realignment of alliances, economic power struggles, and the uncertainty of a multipolar world.

The Core Issue: The U.S. Debt Crisis and the Rise of Economic Warfare

At the center of this discussion is the massive debt burden of the United States—a concern that many analysts share. The $36 trillion U.S. debt is seen as unsustainable, and Trump’s possible strategy involves controlling inflation, lowering interest rates, and repositioning the dollar as the dominant global currency.

• The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates is crucial here. If the Fed lowers rates too soon, it could reignite inflation, but keeping rates high threatens the U.S. economy.
• Trump’s economic warfare involves deliberately creating controlled chaos—pressuring Europe, raising tariffs, and shifting capital flows into the U.S.
• The potential downfall of the Euro is seen as part of this plan—if Europe fractures under economic pressure, the dollar will consolidate its dominance.

Bitcoin and Crypto in the Crossfire

The cryptocurrency market has been stagnating, with Bitcoin unable to break past critical resistance levels. Note that Bitcoin only surges when it’s in the right price range, and without a catalyst, it’s unlikely to see major gains soon.

• European regulators are increasingly hostile toward crypto, fearing it as a threat to fiat stability.
• The U.S. might use Bitcoin strategically, incorporating it into government bonds (BitBonds), but this doesn’t necessarily mean an immediate bullish move—rather, it could become a controlled asset rather than a decentralized hedge, including stablecoins in this box.
• If the global monetary order shifts dramatically, crypto could either be co-opted or suppressed, depending on how power players like the U.S. and China decide to handle it.

Europe’s Existential Crisis: The Breaking Point?

Let's raise an interesting, albeit extreme, scenario: the collapse of the European Union and a U.S.-Russia alliance against the EU, as seen with Russia's recent bid for rare earth minerals with US. While this seems improbable in the short term, Europe is indeed facing major crises:

1. Energy Dependency – If Russia completely cuts energy supplies, Europe’s economy will spiral into a deep recession, fueling social unrest.
2. Demographic & Immigration Pressures – The growing tensions between native Europeans and Muslim immigrants could escalate, particularly if economic collapse leads to political radicalization.
3. Military Realignments – Trump’s potential troop withdrawals from Germany signal a shift in U.S. priorities—Europe may have to fend for itself militarily, leading to increased militarization, as already announced, an investment of 1 trillion in militarism in the EU.
4. Economic Warfare & Tariffs – If the U.S. raises trade barriers, Europe will struggle to maintain its economic model.

European nations might turn against immigrants in a moment of collapse echoing historical patterns—in economic crises, scapegoating minorities and outsiders has often been a tragic consequence. If the EU dissolves under economic strain, its individual states may become more nationalistic and protectionist, specially against Muslims, after all, when money stops to flow from Germany, the EU members start to move like hazy serpents.

The Future of Global Power: A New World Order?

Trump, with Elon Musk and other allies, is orchestrating a grand geopolitical shift—aligning the U.S. with Russia and possibly China, dismantling the EU, and consolidating economic control through the dollar and Bitcoin-backed bonds.

While this might seem like a conspiracy theory, the underlying logic holds weight:

• The U.S. is shifting its focus away from Europe and towards the Middle East and Asia.
• If Russia and the U.S. find common ground, it could end the economic war between these powers and leave the EU isolated.
• A global economic reset could mean de-dollarization accelerates, but if Trump’s plan works, the dollar could become semi-universal, backed in part by Bitcoin.

Chaos as Strategy

What we see here is a macro-strategy based on controlled chaos—by disrupting Europe, destabilizing global markets, and concentrating power in the U.S., Trump (and those behind him) could be positioning America for renewed dominance in a shifting world order.

If this plan unfolds as speculated, we could be entering an era where:

1. The European Union weakens or collapses.
2. The U.S. forms new geopolitical alliances (potentially with Russia and China).
3. Bitcoin becomes institutionalized rather than decentralized.
4. Fiat currencies outside the U.S. suffer devaluation.
5. A new economic paradigm emerges—one that consolidates power around the U.S. and its financial instruments.

Whether this is a master plan or just a chaotic convergence of geopolitical and economic forces, one thing is clear: we are on the brink of a seismic shift in global power, and those who understand these changes will have the advantage.

This view aligns with real-world geopolitical and economic trends, but it presents an extremely high-risk, high-reward scenario that could backfire if miscalculated. 

Strengths of the Theory

1. U.S. Debt Crisis is a Real Threat

   • The $36 trillion debt burden is unsustainable, and lowering interest rates is the only way to reduce its impact.
   • If the U.S. successfully integrates Bitcoin into government bonds (BitBonds), it could create a new financial instrument to attract global capital and reduce reliance on traditional debt financing.

2. Trump’s Economic Warfare Strategy Makes Sense

   • If Trump weakens the Euro, capital flows into the U.S.
   • Tariffs and trade restrictions hurt competitors like Europe, China, and Canada, strengthening American industries.
   • Devaluing foreign currencies forces investors to flee to the dollar and Bitcoin-backed assets.

3. Europe is in a Weakened Position

   • Dependence on Russian energy and U.S. military protection leaves it vulnerable.
   • Rising nationalism and immigration tensions could lead to internal fractures.
   • If the U.S. pulls back troops and destabilizes the region, European countries might turn on each other, ending EU unity.

Weaknesses & Risks of the Plan

1. Bitcoin Volatility is a Double-Edged Sword

   • If Bitcoin is integrated into U.S. debt, a crash in BTC price could trigger a debt crisis.
   • Governments like China and the EU may ban Bitcoin outright to counterbalance its use as a U.S. asset.

2. A U.S.-Russia Alliance is Highly Unlikely

   • Deep-seated mistrust between the U.S. and Russia remains, despite potential economic alignment.
   • China would benefit the most from a weakened Europe, meaning they may not support Trump’s strategy.
   • If Trump overplays his hand, he could drive Europe and China into an alliance against the U.S., instead of weakening them individually.

3. The Risk of War & Social Unrest

   • If Europe collapses economically, it could trigger civil unrest, mass protests, and even internal wars over resources and immigration issues.
   • A U.S. military shift towards the Middle East and Israel could ignite a broader regional war, pulling America into new conflicts.
   • If the dollar strengthens too much, U.S. exports could suffer, hurting American businesses in the long run.

A Dangerous But Genius Move

If this is Trump’s actual plan, it is a bold, ruthless, and high-risk geopolitical gambit. It could work if executed perfectly, but the level of unpredictability is immense.

• If Europe collapses, the U.S. could emerge as the dominant global economy again.
• If Bitcoin-backed bonds gain global adoption, the dollar could become the ultimate hybrid fiat-crypto reserve currency.
• However, miscalculations could trigger financial chaos, a backlash from China and Europe, and even unintended wars.

Regardless of whether this is a carefully engineered strategy or a series of coincidental events, one thing is clear:

We are witnessing the beginning of a new global financial and geopolitical order, and the next two years will define the fate of Bitcoin, the U.S. economy, and the survival of the European Union.